- Sep 10, 2018 -
How will trade war between USA and China influence us in PCB and PCBA field ?
In 2017, the mainland of China accounted for more than 50% of the global PCB board production capacity, and PCB circuit board products has been list in the US tax list, there the tariff was raised from 2% to 27%. We have made some analysis and reference for the industrial impact:
After several twists and turns, there is a possibility for trade war between USA and China of further deterioration: this war began on March 8, and after several rounds of negotiations, no unified opinion was reached. Finally, on June 15, the US issued a statement saying that it would impose a 25% tariff on 1,102 products with a total value of $50 billion. The future of the trade war is unpredictable and there is a possibility of further deterioration. The Japanese-US trade war is a reference, and the trade war is difficult to change the industrial logic: the Japanese-US trade war lasted for 30 years. Involved in the industry from textiles, steel to color TV, automotive and semiconductors. Take the automobile industry as an example. In the 12 years after the United States imposed a 100% tariff on a $5.99 billion trade-sized luxury sedan in 1995, the Japanese auto industry has started a rapid growth rate of more than 8%. The industry has not been traded. And stop rising.
PCB circuit board will migrate to China, benefiting from 5G and automotive electronics, in the next four years, global growth rate of will increase to 1.94%:
The PCB circuit board industry is affected by the whole trade war. In extreme cases, it affects less than 3%. In recent years, China’s trade exports to US in PCB board has remained at around US$600 million, and due to the steady growth of output of China’s PCB circuit boardt, The trade volume of PCB circuit board to the United States accounted for a downward trend in the proportion of China's PCB circuit board output.
China's export of PCB circuit board to the United States accounted for an increase in the proportion of China's PCB circuit board export to US. in that year, from 5.01% in 2008 to 6.39% in 2016, but it accounted for less than 3% of the overall domestic output.